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Catalonian parliamentary election, 2012

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Catalonian parliamentary election, 2012

Catalonian parliamentary election, 2012

25 November 2012

All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia
68 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 3,668,310 (67.8%)
Increase9.0 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Artur Mas Pere Navarro Oriol Junqueras
Party CiU PSC-PSOE ERC
Leader since 7 January 2002 17 December 2011 17 September 2011
Last election 62 seats, 38.4% 28 seats, 18.4% 10 seats, 7.0%
Seats won
50 / 135
20 / 135
21 / 135
Seat change Decrease12 Decrease8 Increase11
Popular vote 1,116,259 524,707 498,124
Percentage 30.7% 14.4% 13.7%
Swing Decrease7.7 pp Decrease4.0 pp Increase6.7 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Alicia Sánchez-Camacho Joan Herrera Albert Rivera
Party PPC ICV-EUiA C's
Leader since 6 July 2008 23 November 2008 9 July 2006
Last election 18 seats, 12.4% 10 seats, 7.4% 3 seats, 3.4%
Seats won
19 / 135
13 / 135
9 / 135
Seat change Increase1 Increase3 Increase6
Popular vote 471,681 359,705 274,925
Percentage 13.0% 9.9% 7.6%
Swing Increase0.6 pp Increase2.5 pp Increase4.2 pp

On the left: Winning party map for each municipality.
  CiU hold
  CiU gain
  PSC hold
  PSC gain
  ERC hold
  ERC gain
  PP gain
  ICV-EUiA gain
  CUP gain
On the right: Map showing the winning party in each comarque and the distribution of seats in every election boundary.
  CiU
  PSC
  PSC (less >5%)
  ERC
  PP
  ICV
  C's
  CUP

President of the
Generalitat de Catalunya
before election

Artur Mas
CiU

Elected President of the
Generalitat de Catalunya

Artur Mas
CiU

The 2012 Catalonian parliamentary election was a snap election announced on 25 September 2012 and was held on 25 November 2012.[1] The election was called following the demonstration in Barcelona on 11 September 2012 (the National Day of Catalonia) to demand Catalan independence, and the failed talks between the President of Catalonia Artur Mas (Convergence and Union) and Prime Minister of Spain Mariano Rajoy (People's Party) to give greater fiscal autonomy to Catalonia.[2]

Artur Mas signed the decree on 1 October to officially call the Catalan election for 25 November.[3]

Electoral system

Deputies are elected in four electoral districts: 85 in Barcelona, 17 in Girona, 15 in Lleida and 18 in Tarragona. In each district, seats are allocated to parties obtaining at least 3% of the votes in that district using the D'Hondt method.[4]

Opinion polls

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm/Source CiU PSC PPC ICV-EUiA ERC C's SI CUP Others Lead
25 Nov 2012 Regional Election 30.7 14.4 13.0 9.9 13.7 7.6 1.3 3.5 5.9 16.3
25 Nov Ipsos-Eco Consulting 34.0 12.6 12.0 9.0 14.2 5.9 4.7 7.6 19.8
Exit polls
18 Nov NC Report[1] 36.9 13.6 13.8 8.6 10.2 5.6 2.9 8.4 23.1
13–16 Nov GESOP 38.0 12.0 11.6 9.8 12.8 6.0 2.5 2.8 4.5 25.2
13–16 Nov Sigma-2 36.6 15.3 13.8 8.1 9.5 4.5 2.8 9.4 21.3
12–16 Nov DYM[1] 38.4 12.9 13.7 8.1 12.2 4.3 4.7 5.7 24.7
12–16 Nov Feedback 38.2 13.3 12.1 11.0 10.4 7.2 1.4 2.4 4.0 24.9
8–15 Nov Metroscopia 37.3 12.3 13.2 7.9 12.2 5.7 3.0 8.4 24.1
9–14 Nov My Word 36.8 10.6 10.9 9.2 11.4 6.5 2.9 2.6 9.1 25.4
6–9 Nov Feedback 40.0 12.0 12.3 10.2 10.9 7.0 1.7 5.9 27.7
30 Oct–2 Nov Feedback 39.7 13.1 12.7 10.7 10.1 5.4 2.1 1.9 4.3 26.6
29 Oct–1 Nov GESOP[2] 39.5 13.0 12.0 9.0 11.0 5.5 2.5 7.5 26.5
22–30 Oct CEO 43.4 12.0 12.5 8.0 9.5 5.1 2.0 2.8 4.7 30.9
9–29 Oct CIS 36.8 12.9 11.0 8.1 11.1 6.0 2.1 1.6 10.4 23.9
25–26 Oct GAPS 39.0 13.3 12.9 8.0 11.2 5.0 1.8 1.5 7.3 25.7
22–26 Oct Feedback 40.9 13.4 11.4 10.1 10.6 5.6 1.8 6.2 27.5
18–22 Oct GESOP 39.1 14.0 11.5 9.4 10.2 5.0 2.5 2.4 5.9 25.1
15–19 Oct Feedback 40.7 15.0 12.2 9.6 9.7 4.2 2.2 1.1 5.3 25.7
8–11 Oct Feedback 43.2 15.2 12.0 8.6 9.3 3.1 2.6 6.0 28.0
30 Sep–1 Oct GESOP 41.0 14.5 9.9 7.7 11.3 5.0 4.5 6.1 28.0
29 Sep NC Report[1] 35.6 16.6 13.4 8.9 9.0 3.5 13.0 19.0
26–28 Sep Sigma-2 39.2 16.9 12.8 8.5 8.2 3.3 3.0 8.1 22.3
21–27 Sep Feedback 43.0 15.7 11.8 9.6 10.1 3.6 3.3 2.9 27.3
15 Sep La Vanguardia 45.9 17.1 9.6 10.2 12.5 2.6 2.1 28.8
15 Sep NC Report[1] 36.8 15.4 13.2 8.7 9.5 3.7 12.7 21.4
23 Jul GAPS 34.5 16.6 11.2 9.7 9.9 3.4 3.7 11.0 17.9
4–18 Jun CEO 36.2 16.4 10.5 9.5 9.7 3.7 3.5 10.5 19.8
30 May–7 Jun Feedback 37.9 17.7 11.8 9.9 9.3 3.2 3.3 6.9 20.2
7–9 May GESOP 33.9 18.4 10.2 9.7 10.6 4.5 2.4 10.3 15.5
6–21 Feb CEO 37.0 16.5 11.7 8.1 9.6 4.0 2.4 10.7 20.5
16–19 Jan GESOP 35.2 16.9 10.5 8.6 9.0 3.8 2.3 13.7 18.3
2012
27–28 Dec Feedback 38.5 16.9 12.2 10.0 9.8 2.1 1.5 9.0 21.6
20 Nov 2011 General Election 29.3 26.7 20.7 8.1 7.1 N/A N/A N/A 6.3 2.6
19–21 Jun GESOP 36.7 17.5 13.0 8.3 6.5 3.0 2.9 2.5 9.6 19.2
2011
28 Nov 2010 Regional Election 38.4 18.4 12.4 7.4 7.0 3.4 3.3 N/A 9.7 20.0

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 68 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.

68 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm/Source CiU PSC PPC ICV-EUiA ERC C's SI CUP Others
25 Nov 2012 Regional Election 50 20 19 13 21 9 0 3 0
25 Nov Ipsos-Eco Consulting 54/57 16/18 16/18 10/12 20/23 6/7 0 5/6 0
Exit polls
22 Nov Sigma-2 57/59 21/22 21/22 16 18
18 Nov NC Report 60/62 20/21 19/20 12 15 6/7 0 0/2 0
18 Nov SEGRE 60/64 16/19 18/21 11/13 12/16 8/11 0/3 0 0
14–16 Nov Crònica.cat 63/64 18/19 16/17 12 14/15 5 5 0 0
13–16 Nov GESOP 62/64 15/17 15/17 13/14 19/20 6/7 0/1 0/1 0
13–16 Nov Sigma-2 60/63 21/23 20/21 10/12 14 5 0/2 0 0
12–16 Nov DYM 60/62 17 18 9/10 18 6 0 4/7 0
12–16 Nov Feedback 62/64 17/19 16/18 13/16 14/15 7/8 0 0/2 0
8–15 Nov Metroscopia 62 18 19 10 18 6 0 2 0
9–14 Nov My Word 62/65 16/17 16/17 12/13 16/17 8 0 2 0
6–9 Nov Feedback 64/66 16/18 17/18 12/13 15/17 7/8 0 0 0
30 Oct–2 Nov Feedback 64/65 18 17/19 14 14/15 6/7 0 0/2 0
29 Oct–2 Nov Crònica.cat 66 17 18 12/13 14/15 3 4/5 0 0
29 Oct–1 Nov GESOP 63/65 18/20 17/18 11/12 17/18 5/7 0 0/1 0
22–30 Oct CEO 69/71 15 18/19 10 14 6 0 0/3 0
9–29 Oct CIS 63/64 19 16/17 11 17 7 1 0 0
25–26 Oct GAPS 64/66 19/21 19/20 9/12 16/18 5/6 0 0 0
22–26 Oct Feedback 65/66 18 17 12/13 16 6 0 0 0
18–22 Oct GESOP 64/65 20/21 15/16 13/14 15/16 5/6 0 0 0
15–19 Oct Feedback 67 21 17 12 14 4 0 0 0
8–11 Oct Feedback 68/69 20/21 17/18 10/11 13 3 0/2 0 0/2
30 Sep–1 Oct GESOP 64/65 20/21 12/13 10 17/18 5 5/6 0 0
29 Sep NC Report 58/59 24/25 20 12 14 3 0 0 3
26–28 Sep Sigma-2 64/65 24/25 18/20 11 12 3 0/2 0 0
21–27 Sep Feedback 66/67 21 15/16 12 13 4 3 0 0
16 Sep Tele 5 58/60 23/25 15/16 12/13 17/19 3/4 4/5 0 0
15 Sep La Vanguardia 69/70 23 12/13 12 17 0/2 0 0 0
15 Sep NC Report 58/62 22/25 20 11 15 3/4 0 0 3
23 Jul GAPS 55/57 26/28 16/17 11/13 15/16 0/3 0/4 0 0
4–18 Jun CEO 60 24/25 15/16 12/13 15/16 3/4 0/4 0 0
14 Jun CDC 52 30 15 14 17 3 4 0 0
30 May–7 Jun Feedback 58/60 26/28 16 13 15 3 1/3 0 0
7–9 May GESOP 56/57 28/29 13/14 13 17/18 5 4 0 0
6–21 Feb CEO 62/63 25/26 18/19 10/11 14/15 3/4 0 0 0
16–19 Jan GESOP 62/63 27/28 14/15 12/13 13/14 4 0 0 0
2012
27–28 Dec Feedback 61/62 25 19 13/14 15 0/2 0 0 0
19–21 Jun GESOP 62/63 27/28 19/20 11/12 8/9 3 0/2 0/2 0
2011
28 Nov 2010 Regional Election 62 28 18 10 10 3 4 N/A 0

Results

Composition of the elected Parliament.
Summary of the 25 November 2012 Parliament of Catalonia election results
Party Vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
Convergence and Union (CiU) 1,116,259 30.71 −7.72 50 −12
Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) 524,707 14.43 −3.95 20 −8
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) 498,124 13.70 +6.70 21 +11
People's Party of Catalonia (PPC) 471,681 12.98 +0.61 19 +1
Initiative for Catalonia Greens-United and Alternative Left (ICV-EUiA) 359,705 9.90 +2.53 13 +3
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 275,007 7.57 +4.18 9 +6
Popular Unity Candidates (CUP) 126,435 3.48 New 3 +3
Platform for Catalonia (PxC) 60,107 1.65 −0.75 0 ±0
Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) 46,838 1.29 −2.00 0 −4
Blank Seats (Eb) 28,288 0.78 +0.18 0 ±0
Animal Rights Party (PACMA) 20,861 0.57 +0.12 0 ±0
Pirates of Catalonia (Pirata.cat) 18,219 0.50 +0.29 0 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 14,614 0.40 +0.23 0 ±0
Jaded.org (Hartos.org) 11,702 0.32 New 0 ±0
Democratic Way (VD) 5,984 0.16 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 52,898 1.46 −1.47
Total 3,635,170 100.00 135 ±0
Valid votes 3,635,170 99.10 −0.19
Invalid votes 33,140 0.90 +0.19
Votes cast / turnout 3,668,310 67.76 +8.98
Abstentions 1,745,558 32.24 −8.98
Registered voters 5,413,868
Source(s):
  • Department of Interior and Institutional Relations
  • Argos Information Portal
Vote share
CiU
  
30.71%
PSC
  
14.43%
ERC
  
13.70%
PPC
  
12.98%
ICV-EUiA
  
9.90%
C's
  
7.57%
CUP
  
3.48%
PxC
  
1.65%
SI
  
1.29%
Others
  
2.83%
Blank
  
1.46%
Parliamentary seats
CiU
  
37.04%
ERC
  
15.56%
PSC
  
14.81%
PPC
  
14.07%
ICV-EUiA
  
9.63%
C's
  
6.67%
CUP
  
2.22%

Results by province

Party BC GI LL TA Total
CiU S 26 9 8 7 50
V 28.1 43.0 43.1 31.7 30.7
PSC-PSOE S 14 2 1 3 20
V 15.4 10.1 10.4 13.6 14.4
ERC S 12 3 3 3 21
V 12.7 17.8 17.4 15.1 13.7
PPC S 12 2 2 3 19
V 13.3 9.6 11.3 15.0 13.0
ICV-EUiA S 10 1 1 1 13
V 11.1 5.9 5.4 6.9 9.9
C's S 8 0 0 1 9
V 8.4 3.6 3.3 7.3 7.6
CUP S 3 0 0 0 3
V 3.4 4.2 3.0 3.6 3.5
Others V 6.2 4.6 4.1 5.0 5.7
Blank 1.4 1.2 2.0 1.8 1.5
Total seats 85 17 15 18 135
Turnout 68.0 69.3 66.8 65.2 67.8

Results by comarques

Comarque CiU PSC ERC PPC ICV C's CUP Lead Turnout
Alt Camp 39.6 10.5 18.6 9.8 5.5 4.4 4.7 +21.0 69.3
Alt Empordà 40.7 10.0 16.3 13.2 5.0 4.0 4.2 +24.4 68.1
Alt Penedès 38.4 11.3 17.3 8.5 8.2 4.0 5.7 +21.1 73.1
Alt Urgell 47.1 9.5 16.4 9.6 5.9 2.3 4.4 +30.7 68.4
Alta Ribagorça 37.6 16.3 17.6 7.8 6.7 2.9 4.3 +20.0 67.0
Anoia 34.9 13.2 15.2 11.1 7.6 5.5 3.3 +19.7 69.2
Bages 40.2 11.6 17.7 8.3 6.8 3.9 4.3 +22.5 70.2
Baix Camp 34.0 12.9 12.8 15.9 6.0 7.7 4.5 +18.1 66.9
Baix Ebre 34.4 11.7 21.8 11.2 7.4 2.6 3.3 +12.6 63.7
Baix Empordà 42.1 11.9 17.6 9.6 6.1 3.4 3.4 +24.5 69.5
Baix Llobregat 19.8 20.1 10.7 14.3 13.1 10.8 2.5 −0.3 68.8
Baix Penedès 27.4 17.0 11.4 16.0 8.3 8.8 3.1 +10.4 62.6
Barcelonès 25.8 15.2 11.9 15.5 12.3 8.8 3.5 +10.3 69.3
Berguedà 48.5 7.5 21.5 5.3 4.5 1.6 5.4 +27.0 73.9
Cerdanya 51.9 6.4 15.6 10.4 4.4 3.1 2.4 +36.3 71.0
Conca de Barberà 44.5 6.2 26.7 5.9 5.3 2.0 3.8 +17.8 73.1
Garraf 28.4 15.1 12.5 13.0 9.8 8.3 6.0 +13.3 67.0
Garrigues 49.7 7.8 22.4 7.2 3.6 1.3 3.3 +27.3 72.6
Garrotxa 52.2 6.6 20.6 5.1 4.3 1.4 4.7 +31.6 74.7
Gironès 41.7 9.8 18.3 8.7 6.1 3.9 5.5 +23.4 73.1
Maresme 35.5 11.8 14.2 12.4 8.7 6.7 3.2 +21.3 71.1
Montsià 33.7 13.0 21.4 12.6 5.8 2.1 3.5 +12.3 64.0
Noguera 49.1 8.1 19.4 9.4 4.4 1.8 2.7 +29.7 71.7
Osona 50.8 5.9 21.1 5.1 4.2 2.1 3.6 +29.7 77.3
Pallars Jussà 49.1 9.3 20.6 6.6 4.9 1.3 3.8 +28.5 68.8
Pallars Sobirà 47.7 7.6 23.0 4.8 5.3 1.5 6.4 +24.7 74.2
Pla de l'Estany 52.9 3.9 22.8 4.9 3.8 1.2 5.9 +30.1 77.7
Pla d'Urgell 50.0 7.7 19.2 8.2 4.1 2.0 2.7 +30.8 73.3
Priorat 43.6 7.3 24.9 5.2 5.5 1.0 8.7 +18.7 79.1
Ribera d'Ebre 40.3 11.0 24.0 7.9 5.7 1.7 3.0 +16.3 71.6
Ripollès 50.0 8.2 19.0 6.2 5.2 2.0 3.6 +31.0 75.8
Segarra 48.7 6.2 19.7 9.0 4.0 2.1 3.8 +29.0 72.2
Segrià 36.6 13.2 15.0 14.5 6.5 5.1 2.5 +21.6 67.0
Selva 38.3 12.5 16.1 11.2 7.7 4.9 3.1 +22.2 67.5
Solsonès 48.8 5.8 24.8 6.2 3.8 1.1 4.4 +24.0 73.2
Tarragonès 25.3 16.0 10.7 19.0 7.8 11.6 2.7 +6.3 66.6
Terra Alta 41.1 9.0 20.8 13.7 4.7 1.5 3.7 +20.3 72.8
Urgell 49.4 7.1 19.1 8.6 4.3 1.5 3.8 +30.3 71.3
Val d'Aran 31.2 19.8 6.3 21.9 5.6 5.6 1.3 +9.3 63.5
Vallès Occidental 25.9 18.0 11.5 12.0 11.6 9.8 3.2 +7.9 70.3
Vallès Oriental 30.5 14.2 13.6 11.7 10.7 8.3 3.1 +16.3 70.3
Barcelona 28.1 15.4 12.7 13.3 11.1 8.4 3.4 +12.7 68.0
Girona 43.0 10.1 17.8 9.6 5.9 3.6 4.2 +25.2 69.3
Lleida 43.1 10.4 17.4 11.3 5.4 3.3 3.0 +25.7 66.8
Tarragona 31.7 13.6 15.1 15.0 6.9 7.3 3.6 +16.6 65.2
TOTAL 30.7 14.4 13.7 13.0 9.9 7.6 3.5 +16.3 67.8

Investiture voting

21 December 2012
Investiture voting for Artur Mas i Gavarró (CiU)

Absolute majority: 68/135
Vote Parties Votes
YesY Yes CiU (50), ERC (21)
71 / 135
No PSC-PSOE (20), PPC (18), ICV-EUiA (13), C's (9), CUP (3)
63 / 135
Abstentions
0 / 135
1 PPC deputy missed the voting.
Source: Historia Electoral

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
  2. ^ This poll provides data ranges, approximations and/or various electoral scenario hypotheses calculated using similar weighting parameters. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.

References

  1. ^ """Mas: "He decidit dissoldre el Parlament i convocar eleccions el 25 de novembre.  
  2. ^ Spain's Catalonia region to hold early elections on Nov 25, Reuters
  3. ^ """Mas: "Ningú no pot utilitzar les armes contra la voluntat d'un poble.  
  4. ^ (Spanish), Parliament of Catalonia

External links

  • Catalonian parliamentary election, 2012
  • Vota.cat
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