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European Parliament election, 2014 (Ireland)

Ireland European Parliament election, 2014

23 May 2014

11 seats to the European Parliament
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Enda Kenny[nb 2] Gerry Adams Micheál Martin
Party Fine Gael Sinn Féin Fianna Fáil
Alliance EPP EUL–NGL ALDE
Leader since 2 June 2002 13 November 1983 26 January 2011
Last election 29.1%, 4 seats 11.2%, 0 seats 24.1%, 3 seats
Seats won 4 3 1
Seat change Steady Increase 3 Decrease2
Popular vote 369,120[nb 3] 323,300 369,545
Percentage 22.3% 19.5% 22.3%
Swing Decrease 6.8% Increase 8.3% Decrease 1.8%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Eamon Gilmore Eamon Ryan
Party Labour Party Green Party Socialist Party
Alliance S&D Greens–EFA EUL–NGL
Leader since 6 September 2007 27 May 2011
Last election 13.9%, 3 seats 1.9%, 0 seats 2.7%, 1 seat
Seats won 0 0 0
Seat change Decrease 3 Steady Decrease 1
Popular vote 88,229 81,458 29,953
Percentage 5.3% 4.9% 1.8%
Swing Decrease 8.6% Increase 3% Decrease 0.9%

The 2014 European Parliament election in Ireland was the Irish component of the 2014 European Parliament election and was held on Friday, 23 May 2014, on the same day as the 2014 local elections and two by-elections (Dublin West and Longford–Westmeath).[1] The election was conducted under the single transferable vote. Counting of the votes began on Sunday, 25 May[2] and continued until Tuesday, 27 May.

Contents

  • National and regional summaries 1
  • Constituency changes 2
  • Results 3
    • Voting details 3.1
  • Opinion polls 4
    • Candidate polling 4.1
      • Dublin 4.1.1
      • Midlands–North-West 4.1.2
      • South 4.1.3
    • Party polling 4.2
      • Dublin 4.2.1
      • Midlands–North-West 4.2.2
      • South 4.2.3
  • See also 5
  • Notes 6
  • References 7

National and regional summaries

In contrast to a poor local election result; Fine Gael retained 4 seats, remaining the largest Irish party at a European level. Despite wining the largest number of first preference votes, Fianna Fáil lost 2 seats - a result of poor candidate selection and a reduction in the number of seats. The Labour Party, bearing the brunt of voter anger with the Coalition government, suffered a meltdown losing all three of its seats, including its seat in Dublin which it had held since 1989. The Socialist Party also lost its sole seat. The big winners were Sinn Féin and Independents who won three seats each.

In Dublin, Lynn Boylan of Sinn Féin topped the poll and a tight four way battle for the remaining two seats ensured between Brian Hayes of Fine Gael, ex-Labour MEP turned independent Nessa Childers, Fianna Fáil's Mary Fitzpatrick and the Green Party's Eamon Ryan. Hayes and Childers won with Hayes ahead of Ryan at the final count by a margin of 1,200 votes. In South, both Brian Crowley of Fianna Fáil and Seán Kelly of Fine Gael were re-elected while first time candidate Liadh Ní Riada of Sinn Féin won a seat. The last seat was taken by Fine Gael Senator Deirdre Clune ahead of her party colleague Simon Harris. In the new Midlands–North-West constituency, independent TD Luke 'Ming' Flanagan topped the poll while Mairead McGuinness of Fine Gael and Sinn Féin's Matt Carthy took the next two seats. Fianna Fáil's two candidate strategy in the constituency backfired with sitting MEP Pat the Cope Gallagher narrowly losing to independent Marian Harkin. For the first time, Ireland's delegation to the European Parliament had more women than men.

Constituency changes

The Constituency Commission made changes to the constituencies of Ireland so as to reduce the total number of MEPs from 12 to 11, due to the accession of Croatia to the European Union.[3]

The North-West and East constituencies were abolished. A new 4-seat constituency called Midlands-North-West has been created. It comprises all the area of the previous North-West constituency, with the exception of County Clare which was moved to the South constituency; as well as the north Leinster part of the East constituency.[4]

The South constituency has been increased in size by the addition of counties Carlow, Clare, Kilkenny, Wexford and Wicklow.[4] and the number of seats increased from 3 to 4.

There are no changes to the Dublin constituency.

Results

Elections to the European Parliament in Ireland – 2014
Party[nb 2] Party leader First pref vote[nb 1] % ±% Seats ±
Fine Gael Enda Kenny 369,120 22.3 Decrease6.8 4 Steady
Sinn Féin Gerry Adams 323,300 19.5 Increase8.3 3 Increase3
Fianna Fáil Micheál Martin 369,545 22.3 Decrease1.8 1 Decrease2
Labour Party Eamon Gilmore 88,229 5.3 Decrease8.6 0 Decrease3
Green Party Eamon Ryan 81,458 4.9 Increase3 0 Steady
Socialist Party Collective leadership 29,953 1.8 Decrease0.9 0 Decrease1
Direct Democracy Ireland Jan Van de Ven 24,093 1.5 Increase1.5 0 Steady
People Before Profit Alliance None 23,875 1.5 Increase1.5 0 Steady
Catholic Democrats Nora Bennis 13,569 0.8 Increase0.8 0 Steady
Fís Nua None 4,610 0.3 Increase0.3 0 Steady
Independents 328,766 19.8 Increase8.3 3 Increase2
Total 1,656,518 100 11 Decrease1

Voting details

Constituency Electorate Turnout Spoilt Valid Poll Quota Seats Candidates
Dublin 820,668 358,943 6,368 352,575 88,144 3 12
Midlands–North-West 1,202,997 663,703 17,258 646,445 129,290 4 14
South 1,221,683 679,296 21,798 657,498 131,500 4 15
Total 3,245,348 1,701,942 45,424 1,656,518 11 31

Opinion polls

Candidate polling

Dublin

Date Polling agency Sample size Boylan (SF) Hayes (FG) Childers (Ind) Fitzpatrick (FF) Costello (Lab) Ryan (GP) Smith (PBPA) Murphy (SP) Tallon (Ind) Darcy (DDI) Whitehead (DDI) Wise (FN)
26–28 April MillwardBrown/Sunday Independent[5] 500 20% 15% 19% 13% 12% 11% 5% 4% 1%
1–2 May RedC/Sunday Business Post[6] 500 15% 18% 10% 13% 13% 12% 9% 7% 2% 1% 1% 0%
13-14 May MillwardBrown/Sunday Independent[5] 500 23% 22% 13% 11% 10% 7% 6% 7% 1%
3–15 May Behaviour & Attitudes/Sunday Times[7] 500 19% 16% 11% 12% 7% 11% 10% 9% 3% 0% 1% 1%
23 May Behaviour & Attitudes/RTÉ Exit Poll[7] 1000 24% 14% 11% 12% 8% 14% 6% 7% 1% 1% 1% 0%

Midlands–North-West

Date Polling agency Sample size Carthy (SF) Byrne (FF) Flanagan (Ind) Gallagher (FF) Harkin (Ind) Higgins J. (FG) McGuinness (FG) Higgins L. (Lab) Mullen (Ind) Dearey (GP) Fitzsimons (Ind) Gilroy (DDI) Nic Fhearra (FN) Fay (Ind)
26–28 April MillwardBrown/Sunday Independent[5] 500 17% 16% 12% 9% 12% 11% 11% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1%
1–2 May RedC/Sunday Business Post[6] 500 14% 8% 14% 9% 16% 10% 16% 5% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
13–14 May MillwardBrown/Irish Independent[8] 500 19% 9% 15% 10% 12% 6% 13% 5% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0%
3–15 May Behaviour & Attitudes/Sunday Times[9] 500 14% 9% 17% 8% 12% 7% 21% 5% 5% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0%
23 May Behaviour & Attitudes/RTÉ Exit Poll[7] 1000 13% 10% 20% 11% 11% 7% 16% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1%

South

Date Polling agency Sample size Crowley (FF) Ní Riada (SF) Kelly (FG) Clune (FG) Harris (FG) Prendergast (Lab) O'Flynn (Ind) Godsil (Ind) Hartley (FF) O'Sullivan (GP) Van De Ven (DDI) O'Riordan (FN) Cahill (Ind) Heaney (CD)
26–28 April MillwardBrown/Sunday Independent[5] 500 36% 15% 12% 12% 7% 4% 7% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0%
1–2 May RedC/Sunday Business Post[6] 500 28% 14% 18% 8% 7% 9% 4% 3% 3% 6% 1% 0%
13–14 May MillwardBrown/Irish Independent[8] 500 32% 16% 15% 10% 9% 6% 4% 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3–15 May Behaviour & Attitudes/Sunday Times[9] 500 35% 14% 17% 10% 8% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1%
23 May Behaviour & Attitudes/RTÉ Exit Poll[7] 1000 26% 17% 12% 9% 7% 5% 5% 1% 5% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1%

Party polling

The figures are for first-preference votes, as STV is a ranked voting system.

Dublin

Date Source Polling agency Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fáil Sinn Féin Socialist Green PBP Others
28 April 2014 Sunday Independent[10] MillwardBrown 15% 12% 13% 20% 4% 11% 5% 20%
2 May 2014 Sunday Business Post[11] RedC 18% 13% 13% 15% 7% 12% 9% 14%
14 May 2014 Sunday Independent[12] MillwardBrown 22% 10% 11% 23% 7% 7% 6% 14%
14 May 2014 The Sunday Times[13] Behaviour & Attitudes 16% 7% 12% 19% 9% 11% 10% 16%

Midlands–North-West

Date Source Polling agency Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fáil Sinn Féin Green Others
28 April 2014 Sunday Independent[14] MillwardBrown 22% 4% 25% 17% 2% 30%
2 May 2014 Sunday Business Post[11] RedC 26% 5% 17% 14% 2% 36%
14 May 2014 Sunday Independent[14] MillwardBrown 19% 5% 19% 19% 3% 34%
14 May 2014 The Sunday Times[15] Behaviour & Attitudes 28% 5% 17% 14% 4% 35%

South

Date Source Polling agency Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fáil Sinn Féin Green Others
28 April 2014 Sunday Independent[14] MillwardBrown 30% 4% 39% 15% 1% 11%
2 May 2014 Sunday Business Post[11] RedC 33% 9% 31% 14% 6% 8%
14 May 2014 Sunday Independent[14][16] MillwardBrown 34% 6% 34% 16% 4% 6%
14 May 2014 The Sunday Times[17] Behaviour & Attitudes 35% 5% 36% 14% 3% 8%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c First preference votes: Under Ireland's STV (Single transferable vote) voting system, voters number candidates in order of their preference, from Number 1 upwards. The candidate who is given a Number 1 by the voter is said to have received his (or her) first preference vote.
  2. ^ a b Note that parties (other than independents) are initially ordered by number of seats won, followed by number of first preference votes[nb 1] if number of seats won is the same. Here Fine Gael and Sinn Féin are shown ahead of Fianna Fáil, who got more first preference votes, but won fewer seats.
  3. ^ Popular vote means First preference votes.[nb 1]

References

  1. ^ "Local and European elections to be held on 23 May".  
  2. ^ "Voter turnout of close to 50% reported in some areas".  
  3. ^ "New Irish MEP constituencies announced".  
  4. ^ a b "Report on European Parliament Constituencies 2013".  
  5. ^ a b c d http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/hayes-faces-defeat-in-european-elections-poll-shows-30221043.html
  6. ^ a b c http://www.aertv.ie/live/eu-elections-sunday-business-post-red-c-poll-results/
  7. ^ a b c d Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes European Elections Behaviour & Attitudes, May 2014.
  8. ^ a b Fionnan Sheehan; Niall O'Connor (17 May 2014). "Flanagan on Course to Win Seat as Martin faces Key Test".  
  9. ^ a b "Poll suggests SF & Independents' support has increased".  
  10. ^ "Hayes faces defeat in European elections, poll shows".  
  11. ^ a b c http://www.aertv.ie/live/eu-elections-sunday-business-post-red-c-poll-results
  12. ^ http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/exclusive-poll-shows-sf-and-fg-to-top-euro-elections-in-dublin-30282458.html
  13. ^ http://www.banda.ie/
  14. ^ a b c d "SF on course for Euro election victories but FG's Kelly faces defeat".  
  15. ^ http://www.banda.ie/
  16. ^ http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/elections/opinion-polls/flanagan-on-course-to-win-seat-as-martin-faces-key-test-30281382.html
  17. ^ http://www.banda.ie/
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