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United States Senate election in Washington, 2010

United States Senate election in Washington, 2010

November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Patty Murray Dino Rossi
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,314,930 1,196,164
Percentage 52.36% 47.64%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Patty Murray
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Patty Murray
Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term.

Contents

  • Top-two primary election 1
    • Candidates 1.1
      • Democrats 1.1.1
      • Republicans 1.1.2
      • Others 1.1.3
    • Polling 1.2
    • Results 1.3
  • General election 2
    • Candidates 2.1
    • Campaign 2.2
    • Debates 2.3
    • Predictions 2.4
    • Polling 2.5
    • Results 2.6
    • Fundraising 2.7
  • References 3
  • External links 4

Top-two primary election

Candidates

Democrats

  • Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Charles Allen[1][1][2][3]
  • Bob Burr[3]

Republicans

Others

  • Will Baker (Reform Party)[3]
  • Schalk Leonard[3]
  • Skip Mercer, professor[9]
  • Mohammad Said (Centrist Party)[3]

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Patty Murray (D) Dino Rossi (R) Clint Didier (R) Paul Akers (R) Undecided
Survey USA August 6–9, 2010 41% 33% 11% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling July 27-August 1, 2010 47% 33% 10% 4% 6%
Survey USA June 30, 2010 37% 33% 5% 3% 19%
Elway Research June 13, 2010 43% 31% 5% 2% 17%
Elway Research April 29-May 2, 2010 48% –– 4% 8% 36%

Results

Blanket primary election results[10][11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Green tickY Patty Murray (incumbent) 670,284 46.22%
Republican Green tickY Dino Rossi 483,305 33.33%
Republican Clint Didier 185,034 12.76%
Republican Paul Akers 37,231 2.57%
Independent Skip Mercer 12,122 0.84%
Democratic Charles Allen 11,525 0.79%
Democratic Bob Burr 11,344 0.78%
Republican Norma Gruber 9,162 0.63%
Republican Michael Latimer 6,545 0.45%
Democratic Mike the Mover 6,019 0.42%
Democratic Goodspaceguy 4,718 0.33%
Reform William Baker 4,593 0.32%
Independent Mohammad Said 3,387 0.23%
Independent Schalk Leonard 2,818 0.19%
Republican William Chovil 2,039 0.14%
Totals 1,450,126 100%

General election

Candidates

The top 2 candidates from the blanket primary advanced to the general election.

Campaign

Rossi has heavily criticized Murray for her support of the 2009 economic stimulus package; however, Rossi's economic promises are nearly identical to those of President Bush who asked for the stimulus.[12] Rossi supports repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. He has also criticized Murray for her support for earmarks. In response, Murray said, "You bet that seniority and leadership has a big thing to do with it, but the other part of it is, I get up every day and I work hard and I believe in this and I am going to continue fighting for the community I represent."[13]

Debates

Rossi offered six debates, five of which would be in-state and one nationally.[14] Murray agreed to two debates, and only two debates were held.[15]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Toss up[16] October 13, 2010
FiveThirtyEight 79% chance D[17] October 31, 2010
Rothenberg Toss up/Tilt D[18] October 8, 2010
RealClearPolitics Toss up[19] September 28, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[20] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Toss up[21] October 13, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Toss up[22] October 12, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patty
Murray (D)
Dino
Rossi (R)
Other Undecided
Moore Information January 23–24, 2010 500 ± 4.4% 43% 45% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports February 11, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 48% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 49% 3% 2%
Research 2000 March 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 52% 41% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 46% 3% 4%
Survey USA April 22, 2010 517 ± 4.4% 42% 52% –– 7%
The Washington Poll May 3–23, 2010 626 ± 3.9% 44% 40% –– 16%
Rasmussen Reports May 4, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 46% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 47% 2% 4%
The Washington Poll May 24–28, 2010 221 ± 6.6% 39% 42% 5% 13%
The Washington Poll May 28-June 7, 2010 848 ± 3.3% 42% 40% –– 12%
Elway Research June 13, 2010 405 ± 5.0% 47% 40% –– 13%
Rasmussen Reports June 22, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 47% 3% 3%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 45% 48% 3% 3%
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 47% 2% 2%
Public Policy Polling July 27-August 1, 2010 1,204 ± 2.8% 49% 46% –– 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 18, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 48% 44% 4% 4%
Survey USA August 18, 2010 618 ± 4.0% 45% 52% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports August 31, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 48% 3% 3%
Elway Research September 9–12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 41% 3% 7%
CNN/Time September 10–14, 2010 906 ± 3.5% 53% 44% 2% 1%
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 46% 1% 2%
SurveyUSA September 22, 2010 609 ± 4.1% 50% 48% –– 3%
Fox News September 25, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 48% 47% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 48% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 49% 3% 2%
Fox News October 9, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7% 0%
Elway October 7–11, 2010 450 ± 4.6% 55% 40% 0% 5%
CNN/Opinion Research October 8–12, 2010 850 ± 3.5% 51% 43% 2% 0%
The Washington Poll October 4–14, 2010 500 ± 4.3% 50% 42% –– 8%
SurveyUSA October 11–14, 2010 606 ± 4.1% 50% 47% 0% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 14–16, 2010 1,873 ± 2.3% 49% 47% –– 4%
McClatchy/Marist October 14–17, 2010 589 ± 4.0% 48% 47% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 46% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 48% 3% 2%
SurveyUSA October 24–27, 2010 678 ± 3.8% 47% 47% –– 6%
The Washington Poll October 18–28, 2010 500 ± 4.3% 51% 45% –– 4%
Marist College October 26–28, 2010 838 ± 3.5% 49% 48% 2% 1%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 30, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4% 0%
YouGov October 25–30, 2010 850 ± 4.1% 50.2% 47.5% 0.4% 1.8%
Public Policy Polling October 29–31, 2010 2,055 ± 2.2% 48% 50% 0% 2%

Results

Murray defeated Rossi by about 114,000 votes. King County, the home of Seattle, likely pushed Murray over the finish line. [23]

General election results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patty Murray (Incumebnt) 1,314,930 52.36%
Republican Dino Rossi 1,196,164 47.64%
Totals 2,511,094 100.00%
Voter turnout 71.24%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Patty Murray (D) $10,951,403 $12,438,133 $1,032,034 $0
Dino Rossi (R) $7,365,098 $4,331,414 $2,960,039 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

References

  1. ^ a b "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00332". Images.nictusa.com. 2010-05-13. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  2. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR COMMITTEE ID C00483461". Images.nictusa.com. 2010-05-13. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  3. ^ a b c d e f g "Candidates who have filed". Wei.secstate.wa.gov. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  4. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart. "Reasons to Keep Your Eye on Patty Murray". CQ Politics. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  5. ^ "Home". Akers for US Senate. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  6. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S4WA00466". Images.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  7. ^ Song, Kyung (January 4, 2010). "Ex-footballer latest GOP challenger to Murray's Senate seat".  
  8. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00340". Images.nictusa.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  9. ^ Spokesman-Review (2010-06-01). "Mercer staying in U.S. Senate race - Spin Control - Spokesman.com - June 1, 2010". Spokesman.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  10. ^ "August 17, 2010 Primary - Federal". Vote.wa.gov. 2010-08-17. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  11. ^ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  12. ^ The Stimulus 18-Month Check Up: Murray Plan Means Big Debt, Few Jobs | Dino Rossi for Senate
  13. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 7, 2010). "Murray touts bringing home the bucks". The Seattle Times. 
  14. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 20, 2010). "Rossi wants six debates with Murray". The Seattle Times. 
  15. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 27, 2010). "Murray agrees to two debates". The Seattle Times. 
  16. ^ "Senate".  
  17. ^ "FiveThirtyEight Forecasts: Washington Senate".  
  18. ^ "Senate Ratings".  
  19. ^ "Battle for the Senate".  
  20. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings".  
  21. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate".  
  22. ^ "Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power".  
  23. ^ November 2, 2010 General - Federal
  24. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Washington". fec.gov. Retrieved May 28, 2010. 

External links

  • Elections and Voting at the Washington Secretary of State
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Washington at Project Vote Smart
  • Washington U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
  • 2010 Washington Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Washington Senate from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 Washington Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 Washington Senate Race from CQ Politics
  • Race profile from The New York Times
  • Editorial board endorsement interview: Senate 2010 from The Seattle Times
Official campaign websites
  • Patty Murray for U.S. Senate incumbent
  • Dino Rossi for U.S. Senate
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